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Quantum-Safe Encryption Calculator

Assess your cryptographic infrastructure against quantum computing threats. Get recommendations for NIST-standardized post-quantum algorithms (ML-KEM, ML-DSA, SLH-DSA), evaluate migration urgency, and understand the quantum vulnerability of current encryption systems.

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Prepare Your Cryptography for the Quantum Era

The Quantum-Safe Encryption Calculator helps organizations assess their cryptographic infrastructure against emerging quantum computing threats. Evaluate whether your current encryption is vulnerable to quantum attacks, discover NIST-standardized post-quantum algorithms, and plan your migration timeline. With quantum computers potentially breaking RSA and ECC within the next decade, proactive preparation is essential for long-term data security.

What is Quantum-Safe Encryption?

Quantum-safe encryption (also called post-quantum cryptography or PQC) refers to cryptographic algorithms designed to resist attacks from both classical and quantum computers. Current widely-used algorithms like RSA and elliptic curve cryptography (ECC) rely on mathematical problems that quantum computers can solve efficiently using Shor's algorithm. NIST standardized the first post-quantum algorithms in August 2024, including ML-KEM for key encapsulation and ML-DSA for digital signatures. These algorithms are based on mathematical problems believed to be hard for quantum computers, such as lattice problems and hash functions.

Quantum Attack Impact

Quantum Security = 0 (Shor's for RSA/ECC) or n/2 (Grover's for AES)

Why Assess Your Quantum Security Now?

Harvest Now, Decrypt Later Attacks

Adversaries are already capturing encrypted data with the intent to decrypt it once quantum computers become available. If your data must remain confidential for 10+ years, it's effectively at risk today. Financial records, health data, intellectual property, and classified information need protection now against future quantum threats.

Migration Takes Years, Not Months

Transitioning to post-quantum cryptography is a multi-year undertaking. It requires inventory of all cryptographic systems, testing algorithm compatibility, updating protocols, replacing certificates, and validating integrations. Organizations that start planning now will complete migration before quantum computers pose a real threat.

NIST Deprecation Timeline

NIST has announced that quantum-vulnerable algorithms will be deprecated and ultimately removed from standards by 2035. High-risk systems must transition much earlier. Organizations seeking federal contracts, handling regulated data, or operating critical infrastructure face accelerating compliance requirements.

Standards Are Ready

With FIPS 203, 204, and 205 finalized in August 2024, organizations can now deploy standardized, validated post-quantum algorithms. Early adopters gain experience with the new algorithms while building quantum-resistant infrastructure before the rush of mandatory compliance.

How to Use This Calculator

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Common Migration Scenarios

TLS/HTTPS Web Infrastructure

Web servers using ECDHE key exchange need migration to ML-KEM for quantum-safe TLS. Major browsers and cloud providers already support hybrid post-quantum TLS. Evaluate your certificate infrastructure, load balancer configurations, and CDN compatibility for post-quantum migration.

Code Signing and Software Distribution

Software signed with RSA or ECDSA signatures faces quantum vulnerability. ML-DSA provides quantum-safe signatures with reasonable size overhead. Critical for operating systems, firmware, package managers, and any software requiring long-term signature validity.

VPN and Network Security

Enterprise VPNs and site-to-site connections typically use RSA or ECDH for key exchange. Evaluate WireGuard, IPsec, and OpenVPN configurations for post-quantum upgrade paths. Consider hybrid approaches during transition to maintain interoperability.

Long-Term Data Archives

Data encrypted for archival that must remain confidential for decades faces the most urgent quantum risk. Even if encryption algorithms seem secure today, archived data can be captured and decrypted later. Prioritize re-encryption with AES-256 or hybrid PQC schemes.

IoT and Embedded Systems

Resource-constrained devices may struggle with larger post-quantum key sizes. Evaluate ML-KEM-512 and FN-DSA (Falcon) for IoT applications balancing security with computational requirements. Plan firmware update mechanisms for cryptographic agility.

Financial Services and PKI

Banks, payment processors, and certificate authorities face stringent requirements. Assess certificate chain implications, HSM upgrade requirements, and regulatory compliance timelines. Consider hybrid certificates combining classical and post-quantum algorithms during transition.

Frequently Asked Questions

Current estimates suggest cryptographically-relevant quantum computers (CRQC) capable of breaking RSA-2048 may emerge between 2030-2040, though significant uncertainty remains. However, the 'harvest now, decrypt later' threat means data captured today could be decrypted in the future. For long-lived sensitive data, migration should start now regardless of exact CRQC timelines.

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